Monday, April 25, 2016

US-led West’s Double Standards May Culminate into Nuclear War

By Sajjad Shaukat
           
There is a co-relationship of the US-led West’s double standards and double game in relation to human rights, terrorism and so on. But, this dual strategy, particularly regarding India and Pakistan in wake of the unresolved issue of Kashmir, including the Middle East in connection with the unsettled Palestinian-Israeli dispute, especially the Syrian question may culminate into nuclear war. In these terms, Indian-controlled Kashmir and Syria remain nuclear flashpoints.

A wave of jubilation had been noted all over the world on January 20, 2009 when American President Barack Obama took oath. His first address had indicated a positive change in the US foreign policy. In this respect, most of the political experts had hoped that he would rectify the blunders, committed by his predecessor in the name of phony war on terror.

President Obama had stated, “To the Muslim World, we seek a new way forward, based upon mutual interest and mutual respect.” A majority of the Muslims hoped that President Obama would resolve the issues which were affecting all the Islamic World.

In this regard, while accusing President Bush’s policies in South Asia and recognising interrelationship between war on terror in Afghanistan and dispute of Kashmir, Obama had said on September 25, 2008, that if elected, he would encourage India and Pakistan to ratify the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty (CTBT) and resolve the Kashmir problem to reduce nuclear dangers in South Asia—so that Islamabad could fully concentrate on fighting terrorism.

Quite contrary to his commitments, during his first visit to New Delhi, on November 6, 2010 President Obama announced the measures, America would take regarding removal of Indian space and defence companies from a restricted “entities list”, and supported Indian demand for a permanent seat in the UN Security Council including membership of four key global nuclear nonproliferation regimes. US agreed to sell India the most expensive—the new F-35 fighter jets including other modern aircraft and weapons.

Ignoring the solution of Kashmir dispute which resulted into three wars between India and Pakistan in 1947-1948, 1965 and 1971, America started backing Indian hegemony in Asia to counterbalance China. During President Obama’s second visit to India, on January 25, 2015, the US and India announced a breakthrough on a pact which would allow American companies to supply New Delhi with civilian nuclear technology, as agreed upon in 2008 in order to make India a great power of Asia. This duplicity has initiated a dangerous arms race between Pakistan and India, and between China and India.  

American is also against China, because in October 4, 2011 and May 22, 2014, Beijing joined Russia in vetoing the US-European-backed UN Security Council resolutions against the Syrian regime of President Bashar al-Assad.  

It is mentionable that in its report, the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) disclosed on February 22, 2015 that India is the world’s largest recipient of arms—“India (14 percent of global arms imports), China (4.7 per cent), Australia (3.6 per cent) and Pakistan (3.3 percent).”

Setting aside the Indian irresponsible record of non-proliferation, and safety of nuclear arms, Washington also pressurized the International Atomic Agency (IAEA) to sign an accord of specific safeguards with India. It permitted New Delhi a broad atomic cooperation, while superseding the IAEA regarding transfer of nuclear equipments and technologies. These arrangements also entail enrichment and reprocessing items under the so-called cover of IAEA. America also contacted the Nuclear Suppliers Group to grant a waiver to India for starting civil nuclear trade on larger scale, while the latter had already been getting nuclear material and arms of all kinds from Israel, and other Western countries like UK, Germany and France which also neglected the Kashmir issue and accelerated the supply of atomic weapons to New Delhi.

On the other side, in one way or the other, the high officials of America and Western countries including their media make much hue and cry in relation to the safety of Pakistan’s nukes.

It is notable that in 2009 when the heavily-armed Taliban entered Swat, Dir and Buner, US high officials and their media had exaggerated the ‘Talibinisation’ of the whole Pakistan, while showing concerns about Pakistan’s atomic arms. In that regard, the then US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton had warned that Pakistan’s nuclear weapons could fall into the hands of terrorists. But, when Pakistan’s armed forces ejected the Taliban insurgents out of these areas, she started appreciating the capabilities of Pakistan’s armed forces.

In the recent years, when the US-led NATO forces felt that they are failing in coping with the stiff resistance of the Taliban in Afghanistan, they started accusing Pak Army and country’s Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) of supporting the Afghan Taliban. The high officials and media of their countries not only blamed Pakistan for cross-border terrorism in Afghanistan, but also presumed that a plot to attack the US homeland or Europe would be prepared in Pakistan’s tribal areas where safe-havens of Al-Qaeda exist. India availed the opportunity against Pakistan and spoke in the same tone.

When Pakistan’s Armed Forces broke the backbone of the militants through military operation Zarb-i-Azb in North Waziristan Agency and other tribal regions, and ISI and other law-enforcing agencies captured several terrorists in various regions of Pakistan, including suicide-jackets and weapons. The US and its NATO allies began appreciating the capabilities of Pakistan Army and other security agencies. They also agreed that Pakistan’s nuclear assets are well-protected.

Notably, by displaying a sense of great optimism for peace of the region, Pakistan had agreed with Indian old demand to strengthen the Confidence Building Measures (CBMs) in order to resolve the outstanding issues such as terrorism, including main dispute of Kashmir. During the visit of India’s External Affairs Minister S. M. Krishna to Pakistan on September 9, 2012, Islamabad and New Delhi also signed various agreements in this respect. Besides, Pakistan also signed a number of trade agreements which allowed India exports of multiple items across the Wagah border. In the past, Islamabad offered various solutions to settle the Kashmir dispute, but, New Delhi rejected the same, considering Kashmir as integral part of the Indian Union.  
Since the fundamentalist party BJP led by the Indian Prime Minister Narindra Modi came to power in India, it has been implementing anti-Muslim and anti-Pakistan agenda. In this context, BJP leader Dr. Subramaniam Swamy, a staunch promoter of Hindutva (Hindu nationalism) stated on July 12, 2014 that India needed only two years to defeat Pakistan militarily, and the only solution of Kashmir was war, as “there is no peaceful solution.”

Since 9/11, by availing that golden opportunity, both India and Israel which had joined Bush’s anti-terrorism bandwagon have perennially been manipulating the double standards of the US-led West regarding world phenomena of terrorism, China etc., while exploiting their anti-Muslim approach to obtain Indo-Israeli secret designs. Both Tel Aviv and New Delhi have been equating the ‘wars of liberation’ in Palestine and Kashmir with terrorism, and under the cover, accelerated state terrorism on these controlled territories. Their main purpose is to divert the attention of the West from their own atrocities, while employing delaying tactics in the solution of these issues.

Particularly, fast growing economic power of China coupled with her rising strategic relationship with the Third World, and especially Pakistan—after signing of the agreement, ”China-Pakistan Economic Corridor” has irked the eyes of Americans, Indians and some major Western countries.

Besides encouraging Hindu extremist parties to persecute the Muslims, on the instruction of Prime Minister Modi, Indian forces have accelerated violations at the Line of Control (LoC) by shelling inside Pakistan’s territories, and support to cross-border terrorism in Pakistan, while creating war-like situation between Pakistan and India.

And, by availing the phenomenon of lawlessness in Afghanistan, secret agencies like American CIA, Israeli Mossad and Indian RAW have well-established their covert network in that country, and as part of the double game, they are using the terrorists of the Islamic State group (ISIS) and Tehreek-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) for conducting various terror attacks in Pakistan. With the assistance of terrorist outfits, these secret agencies are also making efforts to destabilise Tibetan regions of China, Pakistan’s province of Balochistan and Sistan-Balochistan of Iran by promoting acrimonious sense of dissent and political volatility.

Silence of the US-led West regarding various developments like unprecedented rise of Hindu extremism, forced conversions of other religious minorities into Hindus, assaults on the Muslims and Christians, including their places of worships and property, creation of war-like situation with Pakistan, Indian non-cooperation with Pakistan’s fact-finding team which recently visited India to probe the Pathonkot terror attacks etc. have encouraged Indian extremist groups such as BJP, RSS VHP, Bajrang Dal and Shiv Sena to  promote religious and ethnic chauvinism in India.

As regards Iraq and the Syrian war, since September 30, 2015, the Russian-led coalition of Iran, Iraq, the Syrian army-the National Defense Forces (NDF) and Lebanon-based Hezbollah have broken the backbone of the US-CIA-assisted ISIS terrorists, Al-Qaeda’s Al-Nusra Front and the rebels who have been fighting to oust the Syrian President Assad’s government and against the current Iraqi regime as part of America’s double game. Russian-led combatants have destroyed the strongholds, supply lines and installations of the US-led entities. These demoralized militants have fled most of the areas in Syria and Iraq, which have been recaptured by the NDF and Iraqi military.

In this backdrop, in the beginning of February, this year, in the first Vienna meeting on Syrian crisis, the US Secretary of State John Kerry had agreed to keep the Syrian president in power (Contrary to previous demand of regime change) and for a unified state of Syria. In this connection, the UNO-backed ceasefire agreement about Syrian war, brokered by the major powers including Russia and the US was signed and enforced on February 27, 2016.

On March 14, 2016, Putin’s announcement to withdraw most of the Russian forces from Syria, after strengthening the Assad regime, while emphasizing upon the political solution of the Syrian crisis gave a setback to the US-led Western allies. In the end of March, this year, Syrian fighters with the support of popular volunteer combatants liberated more towns from the militants’ control, especially the ancient city of Palmyra which means Assad’s forces can use Palmyra for offensives against the ISIS-held territory in Syria’s eastern desert where the militants are entrenched in Deir ez-Zor, as well as the self-proclaimed caliphate’s de facto capital in Raqqa.

Defence analysts opine that the Syria’s government forces may retake the Tabqa airbase in Raqqa province, including Aleppo to assert its sovereignty to demonstrate that it is a capable force against extremists.

As part of the US double game, Syrian rebel groups on April 12, 2016 launched a major offensive on positions of the ISIS and were able to recapture key areas in Syria’s northern province of Aleppo. In order to show to the international community and Western public that America is fighting against the ISIS terrorists, US has accelerated air strikes on the ISIS-controlled regions.

As per CIA directions, in Aleppo city, shell and mortar attacks by the Al-Nusra Front and the rebel groups have continued on the Kurdish neighborhood of Sheikh Maqsoud. And in Aleppo, ISIS executed 3 Kurdish civilians in the village of Hor-Kilis, claiming that they had “connections with the SDF”, the Syrian Democratic Force, while ISIS is also reported to have continued firing rockets from Aleppo province across the border into the Turkish town of Kilis. In the pretext, the Turkish military is retaliating with shell fire. However, Turkey continued crackdown on Kurds and military interference in Syria in violation of the UN-backed truce agreement.

It shows that the US has created a very complicated situation by making a vicious circle; so that American-Israeli clandestine aims to divide Syria in accordance with the CIA-prepared Plan B could be justified, which could also get the favour of the Western countries which are already biased against Assad’s government.

It is of particular attention that after the terror attacks in Paris and Brussels which were arranged by Mossad, Israel succeeded in obtaining its sinister designs. In the aftermath of these assaults, Europe has been put on high alert and these subversive acts are being taken as attacks on the whole continent. In one way or the other, European politicians, especially right-wing leaders and their media are misguiding the general public against the Muslim World by exaggerating the so-called threat of Islamophobia. Because of their double standards, “Stop Islam” movement in the Western countries, particularly in Europe is attracting their people. Besides, Muslims in the continent are facing severe backlash in form of attacks on them and threats (In some countries).

Under the cover of the migrant-crisis, all laws regarding immigration, personal search, detention and arrest of the suspected persons are being especially applied to the Muslims. Without caring for human rights, several Muslim refugees have been expelled from various European countries.

Regarding the controversial Turkish-EU refugee deal, besides a number of human rights groups, particularly Amnesty International in its press release on April 1, 2016 has warned by pointing out, “Large-scale forced returns of refugees from Turkey to war-ravaged Syria expose the fatal flaws in a refugee deal signed between Turkey and the European Union…all forced returns to Syria are illegal under Turkish, EU and international law.”

In this context, protests and violence have become commonplace at the Greek border, where more than 50,000 refugees have been stranded since Macedonia and other Balkan countries shut their borders in February.  

However, if we witness gross violations of human rights in Europe towards refugees (Muslims) and asylum-seekers, we can note that like the fanatic government of India, US-led Europe is also acting upon similar policy. These double standards will result into recruitment of more terrorists by the militant outfits like ISIS on global and regional level.

Meanwhile, with the secret instructions of America, the Syrian opposition delegation of the rebels quitted the new round of Geneva peace talks on April 18, 2016, as their chief negotiator stated that there could be no compromise on Bashar al-Assad’s ouster, and called for renewed attacks on regime forces. In fact, American-led deliberate upsurge in fighting has darkened the already bleak outlook for diplomacy.

While, Russian President Vladimir Putin said on April 14, 2016, “Peace in Syria will come as a result not of military actions but of peace talks…we hope that reconciliation of armed forces will not lead to appeasement, but political process will. They should reach an agreement, sit down at the negotiations table, adopt a constitution, hold election on the basis of this constitution and thus overcome the crisis.”

Overtly, Kerry who praised Moscow’s peace-efforts to resolve the Syrian crisis has repeatedly stated that America wants a political solution of the Syrian conflict, but, covertly, he is implementing CIA-plan of Syria’s partition so as to fulfill the Zionist-Israeli aims.

It is worth-mentioning that after the World War II, nuclear weapons were never used, and were only employed as a strategic threat. During the heightened days of the Cold War, many crises arose in Suez Canal, Korea, Cuba and Vietnam when the US and the former Soviet Union were willing to use atomic weapons, but they stopped because of the fear of nuclear war which could result into political suicide of both the super powers. Therefore, the two rivals preferred to resolve their differences through diplomacy.

Political strategists agree that principle of deterrence also known as ‘balance of terror’ is a psychological concept which aims to affect an opponent’s perceptions. In nuclear deterrence, weapons are less usable, as their threat is enough in deterring an enemy who intends to use its armed might.

A renowned scholar, Hotzendorf remarks that nuclear force best serves the interests of a state when it deters an attack.

It is also of particular attention that on July 31, 2006, the US declassified documents revealed, “During the past year, the Bush White House was seriously considering a nuclear option against Iranian nuclear sites understandably…these scenarios are not without historical precedent. From time to time during the Cold War and after, American officials tried to find ways of making nuclear weapons usable, not only for deterrence against Soviet attack but as tactical weapons in local conflicts…recently declassified documents reveal that during Richard M. Nixon’s first year as president, advisers on his White House staff were willing to revisit the question of whether to employ nuclear weapons in Vietnam.”

A complete study of the declassified documents show that President Nixon’s national security adviser Henry Kissinger who believes in power or use of force including nuclear threat for bringing the adversary to favourable bargaining,  had advised Nixon to use atomic weapons or its threat to compel North Vietnam and its Soviet allies to conclude peace on America’s terms.

In this regard, Huntington’s book, “The Clash of Civilizations and the Remaking of World Order” which points out “the clash of civilizations” as the “battle lines of the future…the next world war” also points out (In one way or the other) that any fault-line war could involve the major powers.

Nevertheless, the theory of balance of terror cannot be applied to India and Pakistan including Syria in wake of skirmishes.

So, we should conclude that inaction by the US-led Western countries in settling the issues of Kashmir and Syria will embolden the fundamentalist governments of India and Israel which seem determined to sabotage the peaceful solution of these crises including that of Israeli-Palestinian conflict. Hence, US-led West’s double standards may culminate into nuclear war, enveloping the whole world in wake of mounting menace of terrorism.

Sajjad Shaukat writes on international affairs and is author of the book: US vs Islamic Militants, Invisible Balance of Power: Dangerous Shift in International Relations

Email: sajjad_logic_pak@hotmail.com

Courtesy Veterans Today


Friday, April 22, 2016

Another Commendable Move by General Raheel


Sarah Khan
Amidst the hue and cry over Panama leaks which categorically named Sharif family in colossal corruption cases including evasion of taxes, General Raheel Sharif has dismissed 12 Army officers including a Lieutenant General and some commissioned and junior commissioned officers. The move is being hailed as first step towards accountability and bringing to justice the corrupts and looters. The development comes two days after the COAS said "across the board accountability is necessary for the solidarity, integrity and prosperity of Pakistan", adding that the war against terror cannot be won unless "the menace of corruption is uprooted".
Pakistan has always scored higher ranks in international indexes on corruption due to deep rooted corruption in our society. One may wonder why politicians of other political parties have not raised their voices against corruption charges of Sharif family. It is because almost all politicians of Pakistan are somehow or the other part of same corruption in which family of our Prime Minister has been named. General Raheel Sharif has only been able to take action against his fellow officers because his character remains impeccable and immaculate. Only a person with immaculate record can punish a guilty man.
General Raheel Sharif is 15th Chief of Army Staff (COAS) of the Pakistan Army appointed as a COAS on 29 November 2013. Since appointment as Chief of Army Staff, General Raheel Sharif has taken many bold and unprecedented steps which are becoming promising factors of Pakistan’s prosperity and development in the coming times. But his recent and unprecedented move of dismissing 12 army officers including a three star general will not only writ his name in history but he will be remembered as a national hero of the country.
On the account of counter terror efforts, the launch of Operation Zarb e Azb in June 2014 has achieved tremendous success in elimination of terrorists and their hideouts in North Waziristan. The year 2015 saw a tremendous decline in terrorist incidents in Pakistan which were exceptionally high and were growing since 2007. After tragic incident of APS massacre in December 2014 Army Chief played a vital role to arrest the terrorists responsible for  APS attack. Soon after the attack, he visited Afghanistan immediately and met with Afghan President and US military officials to ask for cooperation in arresting the responsible persons of this brutality. After lifting of ban on death penalty, he ensured hanging of all terrorists and their facilitators who had played a role in APS massacre. After terror incident at Lahore park, he launched military action against militant hideouts inside Punjab and categorically made it clear that action will be taken against all terrorists without any discrimination.
On foreign policy front, which remains a big failure due to ineligible bureaucrats, General Raheel Sharif has taken several initiatives to enhance ties with Russia and UK. The great project of The China–Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) has unconditional support of Pakistan Army. On instructions of General Raheel in Baluchistan, FWO (Frontier Works Organization) has completed 502KM road in one and half year and its Engineers are helping provincial government for fast development. On Afghanistan front, General Raheel is playing a key role in reconciliation and peace talks among Taliban and Afghanistan government though this faces immense opposition from Indian lobby in Afghanistan.
His other remarkable steps include actions against militant wings of key political parties in Karachi, maintaining a balanced approach towards Iran-KSA in their rivalry over Yemen and Syrian crisis, announcing timely retirement on the pretext of building strong institutions and maintaining national interest a top priority. In addition to this, he played a very positive role during PTI-PML(N) clash over election rigging. Despite calls for military takeover from various quarters, General Raheel played the role of mediator among the two political parties, thus setting an example for upcoming military generals by avoiding military takeover. By doing so he not only regained lost confident of nation in military but also strengthened the democratic norms in the country.
In 2013, when General Raheel was appointed as COAS, Pakistan was going through extreme crises both internally and externally. Most of international reports had termed Pakistan as ‘most dangerous country’ in the World. But after assuming the command of prestigious Armed Forces of Pakistan, General Raheel took so many commendable steps which have ensured a bright and prosperous future of Pakistan. Since 2013, the overall image of Pakistan Armed Forces has been improved nationally and internationally and our Armed Forces have regained the lost image and fame after successfully clearing FATA from militants. Foregoing in view, the politicians and civil bureaucracy of Pakistan must also think in the same direction. After all it’s the civilian politicians of the Pakistan who owes a responsibility to ensure a peaceful and prosperous Pakistan with a modern and effectively capable Army to counter external threats to Pakistan from eastern or western fronts.     






Wednesday, April 20, 2016

Mechanism to Discourage Corruption

By Sajjad Shaukat

Although rampant corruption in Pakistan has continued by damaging the social and institutional fabric of the country, yet it has again come into limelight, after the massive leak of secret documents from Panama-based law firm Mossack Fonseca, which were released on April 3, this year.

The level of tax avoidance and money laundering, disclosed in the Panama Papers Leaks run into the several hundreds of billions of dollars, points out the details and names of hundreds of powerful and leading persons across the world. Some countries have announced investigation, while in some countries, the opposition parties and the people are conducting protests, after the revelations of corruption, money laundering, and financial secrecy in relation to their nations.

Iceland’s Prime Minister Sigmundar Davio Gunnlaugsson and Ukrainian Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk resigned in wake of protests and political pressure inside their countries regarding the revelations of the Panama Papers. British Prime Minister David Cameron is facing increasing calls to resign in wake of public protests after he admitted that he profited from his father’s offshore trust.

Panama documents also include the names of over 200 Pakistanis,  including the current Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif with allegations of tax evasion, fraud, and money laundering—Sharif’s political career since the beginning. In this regard, The Independent in 1998 wrote, “The investigation into Mr. Sharif and his family was originally commissioned in 1993 by an interim government, after Mr. Sharif’s dismissal as prime minister, which asked the agency to investigate 13 separate allegations of corruption and money laundering through overseas bank accounts.”

While the Panama Leaks disclosed, “Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif’s close family has made millions of dollars of investments in a number of offshore companies.”  In this regard, Prime Minister Sharif also addressed the nation and promised appropriate review, while denying that any of his family members were involved in any kind of corruption.

The opposition parties especially Pakistan Tehreek-e-Isnaaf (PTI) and Pakistan Peoples Parties (PPP) have been contacting one another, demanding an impartial investigation about the Panama Leaks in relation to the prime minister, while some are demanding that Nawaz Sharif should quit the government. Meanwhile the PTI has decided to launch protests against the federal government, if it fails to form an independent commission to prosecute the accusations, made in Panama Papers.

However the Panama files highlight Pakistan’s national problem of corruption—especially linked to tax evasion and money laundering.

In fact, illicit capital movement is largely due to lax enforcement of capital and trade controls by regulatory bodies, which results into corruption. Hence, Pakistan needs an effective mechanism to control various forms of corruption which have infected almost every sector of the country.
In this respect, the country requires to enforce an effective implementation of trade and exchange controls regulation with complete overhauling of customs administration and simplification of tariff structure etc. It may be stressed that to control Hundi/Hawals (correspondent) businesses, their related individuals or entities be traced by banking authorities who are holding large sums of funds to settle laundered money in Pakistan.

For the purpose, necessary arrangements may be made with other countries through bilateral agreements about prompt sharing of information, concerning private citizens’ bank accounts and trade-related transactions to and from Pakistan.

In this regard, UAE-Nigeria bilateral agreements, signed on January 19, 2016 provide a model to eradicate corruption in Pakistan. Determined to recover Nigeria’s stolen funds stashed in foreign banks, President Muhammadu Buhari led Federal government, and signed different bilateral agreements with the United Arab Emirates, (UAE). The agreements were essentially on trade, finance and judicial matters.

In this context, The Minister of Justice, Abubakar Malami and his counterpart in the UAE, Sultan Bin Saeed Albadi signed the Judicial Agreements on Extradition, Transfer of Sentenced Persons, Mutual Legal Assistance on Criminal Matters, and Mutual Legal Assistance on Criminal and Commercial Matters, which include the recovery and repatriation of stolen wealth.

Speaking at a reception after the signing of the agreements, President Buhari reiterated his commitment to fighting corruption and restoring Nigeria’s dignity in the comity of nations.

It is mentionable that the incumbent Federal Finance Minister Mohammad Ishaq Dar had once staggered the National Assembly in 2014 that at least $200 billion of ‘Pakistani money’ was stashed away in Swiss banks. He had also announced that Pakistan was considering ways to utilize new Swiss law ‘The Restitution of illicit Assets Act, 2010’ (RIAA) to obtain information about illegally deposited money in Swiss banks and take steps to get it back. Ironically, no further development has been reported, this also needs to be pursued vigorously.

According to the Federal Board of Revenue (FBR), less than 0.5 per cent of Pakistanis pay income tax. That’s just 750,000 individuals out of a population of some 180 million. Tax revenue in Pakistan, as a proportion of GDP is around nine per cent—compared with 14 per cent for countries with similar per capita incomes. Until Pakistan can raise enough money through tax, it will continue to be excessively dependent on loans and foreign aid. Debt to repay loans now stands at $60 billion. This means that over 60 per cent of Pakistan’s federal revenue is spent simply on paying back interest and debt every year, instead of being spent on vital services, such as education, health and infrastructure.

However, the government needs to do is to keep the rates of taxes low, number of taxes reduced, and the tax net broad-based. As regards, income tax, a far better strategy is to have a flat tax system. And, of course, there should be no exemptions and tax holidays since this is what is used in the interest of the privileged and powerful groups of the society at the cost of other sections of society.
Present system of taxation is not good for the ordinary persons as well as for Pakistan’s international friends who want to trade and not give further aid. As a matter of fact, the problem starts at the top. Owing to avoidance of paying their fair share of taxes by wealthy individuals and elected politicians in Pakistan, the burden is shared by the ordinary citizens. These wealthy people or politicians should pave the way by paying actual amount of taxes, helping to close tax loopholes and encourage others to pay what they owe. Sadly, for now anyway, not all these people are the role models they should be.

Now, enough tax has been raised, but not to fully finance improvements in the quality of life for poor people. Definitely, it cannot be good for Pakistan that the elite can afford luxury cars and foreign trips, but cannot afford to pay their real taxes, while concealing their actual assets.

While, the government is also looking to remove exemptions, simplify the tax collection system and drive out corruption. On the other side, if more persons are paying their taxes, it is essential that they want that their money is being spent effectively on public services such as education, health, governance etc. Therefore, the rulers must secure value for their money, while many people in Pakistan live below the poverty line.

As part of the mechanism to discourage corruption in Pakistan, the government must also ensure transparency in collection of taxes. In this connection, the more open and transparent process will provide less opportunity for malfeasance and abuse.

Email: sajjad_logic@yahoo.com


Celebrating Pak Army Martyrs Day




Tariq Rizwan
Pakistan Army sacrifices in the war on terror are colossal. Each year, April 30th is celebrated as Youm-e-Shuhada (Martyrs Day) in Pakistan to remember our valiant soldiers who lost their lives for the safety and security of the country and its people. Pakistan Army commemorates on and the whole nation joins to pay tribute to the departed souls. Ceremonies are being held across the country with main ceremony, being held at Yadqar-e-Shuhada, General Headquarters (GHQ) Rawalpindi. The families and relatives of the martyrs (Shuhada), serving and retired officers including people, belonging to various segments of society attend the function to pay tribute to our national heroes.
In the wake of operation Zarb - e - Azb, Pakistan Army remained engaged in the most difficult terrain of North Waziristan including valley Shawal Valley in fight with the terrorists. This time the enemy is quite different, using all kinds of sabotage and subversive activities. In these terms, Pakistan is in the state of unconventional war. Our brave Army has successfully achieved their objectives by clearing almost every inch of FATA from the terrorists who had challenged the writ of the state, and had terrorized the entire nation by their heinous crimes. Pakistan has perennially been facing subversive activities and sectarian violence in Balochistan, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, Karachi and other parts of the country including tribal areas where security forces are coping with the militants.

Pakistan Army has accepted all kinds of responsibilities wholeheartedly whether it is peace keeping mission of UN, Operation Zarb - e - Azb, restoring peace in Balochistan, assisting the flood & earthquakes’ victims or operation against dacoits in Rajhanpur. On eastern border, Pak Army and Rangers have boldly been responding to India’s unprovoked firing at the Line of Control in Kashmir and Working Boundary in Sialkot. Besides, Pakistan’s security forces have also faced cross-border terrorism from Afghanistan side, encountering heavily-armed militants who from time to time, targeted Army’s check posts, and other civil and military installations.

Since 2007, more than 140,000 armed forces personnel had been deployed along the Afghan border. In the ongoing war on terrorism the armed forces have so far lost the equivalent of two full brigades. Among those killed were one three-star and a couple of two-star generals. The Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) alone had lost 63 personnel in various incidents, including attacks on its major stations.
Pakistan has suffered severe losses during the last decade due to war on terror. According to open sources, about 60,000 casualties including 6370 soldiers, 20877 innocent civilians and 32447 terrorists have been reported while 28, 561 people have sustained injuries in various blasts across the country. As per rough estimates, our economy has suffered $ 80 billion so far. These figures were presented in the National Assembly on Friday, 15 April, 2016 by the Parliamentary Secretary in Ministry of Interior, Maryam Aurangzeb. She added that extremist groups have been active throughout the country with their own ideologies during the last 10 years. She upheld several policy steps have been taken for controlling and improving the law and order situation in the country. “The government has prepared a new policy for strengthening internal security and to improve law and order.”
Preparations are underway to celebrate the day in the Federal Capital and provincial headquarters with great zeal and fervor. Young generation has great love and craze for our Army.
The writer is a freelance journalist, based in London.   

Monday, April 18, 2016

Pakistan’s Relevance in US-China Power Play in Asia Pacific




Sarah Khan

In November 2011, President Obama declared, “the United States is turning its attention to the vast potential of the Asia Pacific region.” This announcement of a deliberate “rebalance” to Asia and the Pacific reflected the American people’s growing recognition of the importance of the region to US interests and the need to reassert American engagement and leadership after the uncertainty caused by the 2008 financial crisis and a decade of combat operations in Southwest Asia. US and its policymakers have often announced that its “Rebalance to Asia” is based on enhancing economic activity of US in the region, but steps taken by US especially devoting 60 percent of forces to this region suggests that it is more than economic. US is seeking economic and military alliances in the region with special focus on India. In such a scenario, Pakistan may have to suffer repercussions if it is not timely aligned strategically with key players of rebalance strategy.

Since 2012, however, the international security environment has become significantly more complicated. China has established Air Defense Identification Zone (ADIZ) to counter growing US influence in the region. It has also accelerated the pace of its island-building in the East and South China Seas, and North Korea has continued developing its nuclear and ballistic missile capabilities. The US intelligence community predicts that in 20 years, China will be the largest nuclear nation in the world, producing over a trillion kWhs a year from nuclear power, will have almost a billion middle class, and will have sufficient nuclear weapons to deter even the United States. Meanwhile, Russian revanchist activities and the emergence of the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant have competed with the Asia-Pacific for attention and resources.
In the recent past, India has endorsed the US stand on the South China Sea islands dispute with China by reaffirming “importance of freedom of navigation and over-flight throughout the region, including in the South China Sea” and vowed support for “a regional security architecture”. The vast scope and depth of the present and planned Indo-US military relationship include co-production of advanced defense articles, joint research on advanced jet engines and aircraft carrier technologies, and strategic cooperation on maritime security. The US-India growing cooperation in the realm of defense with special focus on countering China has obvious and significant negative implications for Pakistan’s security as well.
Pakistan has become relevant in rebalance policy especially after signing China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) is a key project of One Belt One Road (OBOR) strategy of China to counter growing US economic and military influence in the region. Moreover, it has also become a member of Shinghai Cooperation Organization and it is also prospective founding member of Asian Infrastructure and Investment Bank (AIIB). As US-India strategic alliance is enhancing with each passing day. At US behest, India has been the world’s largest arms importer, buying over $100 billion in weapons each year, two-thirds of which are deployed against Pakistan.  
In such a scenario, strategic cooperation with China will remain critical. Pakistan must also endeavor to enhance its strategic collaboration with China by signing defense deals on sharing of cutting edge military technologies. China should be expected to share its most advanced weapons systems with Pakistan, including nuclear submarines, stealth aircraft, and its anti-aircraft carrier missiles. In addition to this, Pakistan may also enhance cooperation with China friendly states in the Asia Pacific and must participate actively in China led economic initiatives in the region to counter growing Indian influence. In addition to this following may be “must do” for Pakistan.
Amid growing US-Russia tensions in a new cold war era, a bloc comprised of China-Russia-Pakistan and Iran can be a real counterweight to US-India emerging power bloc in the region. Hence, Pakistan also needs to enhance military and diplomatic cooperation with Russia. Losing Afghanistan and Iran as friendly neighbors may be precarious for Pakistan from security point of view. Fostering an understanding with Iran is essential. Pakistan and Iran can cooperatively normalise their respective parts of Baluchistan and stabilise Afghanistan — unless Iran decides to align itself with India. In Afghanistan, Pakistan should clearly draw its ‘red lines’: no Indian military presence or use of Afghan territory for subversion against Pakistan. While continuing to support inter-Afghan dialogue, Islamabad should be prepared for a collapse in Kabul and prolonged Afghan chaos.
In the realm of international relations, the famous cliché’ goes ‘there are no permanent friends no permanent enemies, only national interests are permanent’. Following realist paradigm, there must be no compromise on national interests and Pakistan should continue its diplomatic engagement with the US, although there may be rough times ahead in the relationship. The US-China rivalry may aggravate in the coming years due to clash of interests in the Asia Pacific. Eventually, once China acquires comparable military power, and large parts of Eurasia are incorporated into China’s ‘One Belt, One Road’ economic community, Washington may come to accept coexistence and cooperation with the new superpower. In such a scenario, Pakistan’s regional influence will also enhance manifold as CPEC will become a reality thus resulting in improving economic indicators and inviting foreign direct investments. Then, the US may also come to recognize that Pakistan is a critical country whose cooperation is vital to ensure regional stability in south and west Asia, to prevent nuclear non-proliferation, and to and defeat global terrorism. Perhaps then, Washington will respect Pakistan’s legitimate security concerns.

The Indo-US alliance


By MUNIR AKRAM 

RECENTLY, US Defence Secretary Ashton Carter reportedly opened a meeting with senior Pakistani military leaders by declaring: “I must tell you, I am a friend of India.”
The statement, besides being gauche, was superfluous. Carter’s closeness to the Indians is all too evident. The US defence secretary has met four times in the last year with his Indian counterpart, as noted in the joint communiqué issued after his recent visit to India.
The joint communiqué outlines the vast scope and depth of the present and planned Indo-US military relationship; including co-production of advanced defence articles, joint research on advanced jet engines and aircraft carrier technologies, and strategic cooperation on maritime security.
Most significantly, India endorsed the US stand on the South China Sea islands dispute with China by reaffirming “importance of freedom of navigation and over-flight throughout the region, including in the South China Sea” and vowed support for “a regional security architecture”.
The US alliance with India has obvious and significant negative implications for Pakistan’s security.
The US has opened all military and technology doors to India, and encouraged Israel and other allies to do so as well. For the past eight years, India has been the world’s largest arms importer, buying over $100 billion in weapons each year, two-thirds of which are deployed against Pakistan. Moreover, US military and political support encourages India in its bellicose behaviour towards Pakistan.
It is not merely that Pakistan suffers ‘collateral damage’ from the US arming of India against China. The US has imposed — formally and informally — severe and discriminatory restraints on Pakistan’s acquisition of advanced and dual-use technologies and weapons systems from the US or allied sources.
It opposes Pakistan’s defensive responses to India’s build-up: fissile material production, theatre nuclear weapons and long-range missiles. Pressure has even been exerted on China not to transfer advanced weaponry and technologies to Pakistan. Unless this dynamic is changed, Pakistan’s capabilities for conventional defence and nuclear deterrence against India could be significantly eroded.
The latest confirmation of the Indo-US alliance comes at a time when Pakistan’s limited convergence with the US on Afghanistan may be fading. According to Indian press reports, Ashton Carter conveyed to the Indians that the US has given up on Pakistan’s cooperation to stabilise Afghanistan, and wants India to play a larger role there.

The US alliance with India has negative implications for Pakistan’s security.


Worse, the US appears to be encouraging closer ties between India and the GCC states, especially Saudi Arabia, which Modi’s visited recently. There may be an Iranian gambit as well. Given India’s close relations with Iran and informal US-Iranian cooperation against the militant Islamic State group in Iraq and Syria, collaboration between the US, India and Iran to ‘stabilise’ Afghanistan cannot be ruled out.
Pakistan must formulate a well-considered and calibrated military and diplomatic response to these adverse developments. Capitulation is not an option. India’s treatment of Nepal, Sri Lanka and Bangladesh should be a lesson against acceptance of Indian hegemony.
Pakistan’s military response will have to be defensive, asymmetrical, and designed to preserve the ability to deter and repel a conventional Indian attack, and the credibility of nuclear deterrence.
To break up a large Indian surprise attack (projected by the Cold Start doctrine), Pakistan can multiply its short-range, conventional missile capabilities. Air defence can also be best assured by anti-aircraft and ballistic missile defence systems. On the sea, Pakistan cannot afford expensive aircraft carriers; its defence will have to rely on submarines, large numbers of fast missile boats, and anti-submarine warfare capabilities.
To maintain credible nuclear deterrence and dissuade a pre-emptive enemy strike, Pakistan needs to continue to multiply its short, medium and long-range missile capabilities. Ultimately, the deployment of nuclear submarine-based missiles offers the most credible second strike option.
And, so long as India persists in its reported support for the Tehreek-i-Taliban Pakistan, and the Balochi Liberation Army, Pakistan would be unwise to give up the option of supporting the legitimate struggle of the Kashmiri people for freedom and self-determination.
Pakistan’s diplomacy will have to be dynamic and imaginative.
Strategic cooperation with China will remain critical. Just as the US is willing to share cutting-edge military technologies with India, China should be expected to share its most advanced weapons systems with Pakistan, including nuclear submarines, stealth aircraft, and its anti-aircraft carrier missiles.
Pakistan also needs to do much more to enhance military and diplomatic cooperation with Russia, which is locked in a new Cold War with the US, displeased with India’s embrace of America, and much closer to China. Several Russian weapons systems — the S300 anti-ballistic missile and the SU-31 fighter-bomber — are among the best in class.
In Afghanistan, Pakistan should clearly draw its ‘red lines’: no Indian military presence or use of Afghan territory for subversion against Pakistan. While continuing to support inter-Afghan dialogue, Islamabad should be prepared for a collapse in Kabul and prolonged Afghan chaos. Fostering an understanding with Iran is essential. Pakistan and Iran can cooperatively normalise their respective parts of Baluchistan and stabilise Afghanistan — unless Iran decides to align itself with India.
Rebuilding a close relationship with Saudi Arabia will restrain Indian penetration in the Gulf. This requires full support to the House Of Saud; it does not require participation in hostile operations against Iran.
Pakistan should continue its diplomatic engagement with the US, although there may be rough times ahead in the relationship.
The Sino-US rivalry is likely to get worse in the near future, given the angry and ugly mood in America, and rising nationalist sentiment in China. Eventually, once China acquires comparable military power, and large parts of Eurasia are incorporated into China’s ‘One Belt, One Road’ economic community, Washington may come to accept coexistence and cooperation with the new superpower.
It may also come to recognise that Pakistan is a critical country whose cooperation is vital to ensure regional stability in south and west Asia, to prevent nuclear non-proliferation, and to and defeat global terrorism. Perhaps then, Washington will respect Pakistan’s legitimate security concerns.
The writer is a former Pakistan ambassador to the UN.
Published in Dawn, April 17th, 2016


Thursday, April 14, 2016

General (retd) Zaheerul Islam: The shadow warrior


Illustration by Aan Abbas

There were rumours in the air. During the 126-day-long dharna by Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) against the ruling Pakistan Muslim League–Nawaz (PMLN), there were murmurs of a coup d’état. Other than General Shuja Pasha, the former intelligence officer who is known to be a close friend and supporter of PTI Chairman Imran Khan, the other name that was repeatedly brought up was that of Zaheerul Islam, the then director general of the Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI). Allegedly, the two were conspiring to create a rift between Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif and Chief of Army Staff General Raheel Sharif. In the past, the premier had acted against generals whom he had differences with. It was expected that he would again act in a similar manner, under the presumption that the dharna had the general’s backing. But the events did not play out as expected. Not exactly.
It was Federal Defence Minister Khawaja Asif who first stated that the two were behind the political unrest that prevailed last year. Specifically, the minister said, Islam had a “personal grievance” with the ruling party for siding with a particular media house. Asif was subsequently sidelined and snubbed at a dinner with army generals and quickly made to learn a central lesson.
Not everyone took from his experience. In an interview with the BBC in August 2015, Senator Mushahidullah Khan claimed that an audio tape obtained by the Intelligence Bureau was played during a meeting between Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif and Raheel Sharif last year, in which Islam could be heard giving instructions to raid the prime minister’s office. According to the senator, when questioned by General Raheel Sharif, Islam confirmed that the voice was his own.
Khan later clarified that he himself had not heard the tape. Never mind the fact that he kept referring to the ex-ISI Chief as Zahirul Islam Abbasi – the major general who had plotted to overthrow the Benazir Bhutto government in 1995, and who died six years ago – the damage had been done.
Appointed on the recommendation of then President Asif Ali Zardari in March 2012, Islam became the 18th director general of the ISI. He has remained mostly out of the spotlight and yet, he manages to cast a shadow over many major events in the last few years. The most significant of them was when a private television channel ran photographs of Islam alongside allegations by journalist Hamid Mir’s brother stating that firing on the prime-time anchorperson was the handiwork of the intelligence agencies.
Islam has a strong military background; his father, brothers and brother-in-law had also served in the army. His uncle, Shah Nawaz, was a major general in the Indian National Army, led by Subhas Chandra Bose, and was captured and detained by the British briefly in the early 1940s.
Islam belonged to the Punjab Regiment, he was in charge of a division in Murree before being promoted to lieutenant general and being posted as Corps Commander Karachi. 
He was mentioned in Forbes magazine’s most powerful people list as the “new head of Pakistan’s notorious intelligence service” in 2012. “The ISI has played both sides in the war on terror and, as US troops draw out of Afghanistan, will be hugely influential in determining the region’s future,” the magazine went on to state. He succeeded Pasha, who had had the embarrassing distinction of being the ISI chief when Osama bin Laden was killed by US forces in Abbottabad.
With the reputation of being an ‘honest’ officer and a close aide of General Ashfaq Parvez Kayani, it was expected that Islam would continue Kayani’s policy of minimal interference in political matters. That seems to not have happened. And as recent events suggest, he may have been out of office but still holds a lot of say on the political development — albeit by default and alleged association. Quite like most of his career in the intelligence, he has refused to come out of the shadows to clarify his position. Or shall we wait until the Official Secrets Act no longer applies to him?